Thursday, April 24, 2014

Reviewing My NBA Regular Season Preview



This is a response from the NBA preview posts I wrote at the beginning of the regular season. Let's see what I got right, and what I got not so right.

I'd say I was pretty spot on with my prediction about this year's abomination of a rookie class. I predicted that almost none of them would have productive seasons, and none of them did. I guess it could be argued that MCW did well, but how good of season can someone have on a team that almost set the record for most consecutive loses. I also implied that Ben McLemore and Cody Zeller had shots at a successful rookie campaign, if they did, they didn't take advantage of them.
My two potential new rivalries in the eastern conference were Brooklyn-Miami and Chicago-Indiana. The hopes of a potential central division rivalry all but evaporated when D-Rose went down for the season. The Heat and Nets had some moments during the season. They competed in a few close games (all of which the Nets won), culminating in Plumlee's questionable block of LeBron's dunk attempt. Although these rivalries didn't ignite in the regular season, these teams would face each other in the second round of the playoffs if they all advance. This would certainly have potential to spark a potential rivalry.

When speaking of expected outcomes for second year players I insinuated that both Damian Lillard and Harrison Barnes would have down years. For Lillard, just watch this. For HB-angout on the other hand, my prediction was considerably more accurate. His numbers went down and was even discussed in trade talks. All three of the sophomores I predicted to do well, Bradley Beal, Andre Drummond and Dion Waiters, all did so.

When I predicted who would make the playoffs in each league I was right on the money in the west, sans my omission of the Suns as a potential playoff contending team. Both the Blazers and Mavericks made it back to the playoffs from the lottery just as I predicted. My eastern conference predictions on the other hand, could not have been more off.

For starters I had the New York Knicks in the playoffs, so much for that. One of my sleeper playoff teams was the Pistons, the other, was the Bucks. Yes you read that correctly, I predicted the 15 win Bucks would be in heavy contention for a playoff spot. Although in my defense how far off is 15 wins from the 8 seed in the east? I had neither the Bobcats or Raptors anywhere close to the playoff picture. Although I did have the Wizards on my radar, so there's that.

So what does this all mean? Pretty much nothing. It means, I know about as much as the analyst on ESPN. I'm no Nate Silver but I did have my fair share of accurate predictions. This year's playoffs are already too crazy. Too crazy for me to even potentially make an attempt at a finals prediction. All I know is they're just getting started and I can't wait to see what happens next.

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